Charter Oak, California 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

885
FXUS66 KLOX 020436
AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
836 PM PST Sun Nov 1 2026

.SYNOPSIS...01/834 PM.

Dry conditions and rising temperatures are expected as a warming
trend affects the area Monday through late in the week. Breezy
offshore winds are expected through Wednesday, followed by
stronger offshore winds Thursday and Friday, along with increasing
heat.

&&

.SHORT TERM (SUN-WED)...01/704 PM.

***UPDATE***

We are finally at the conclusion for this system. Current SFC
observations as of 6 PM show that the gusty post-frontal west
winds are diminishing. Coastal locations gusted to 30-40 mph
this afternoon - just below wind advisory levels. Subsidence
is in the works evident by the satellite imagery loop showing
a gradual decrease in cloud cover. There is some lingering
clouds at 5,000 ft over some mountain locations, but those
are expected to dissipate through the evening.

In general, the area that saw the most rain with this system
was from Ventura-Oxnard to Point Mugu state park where radar
estimates up to 1.5". The highest preliminary measurement was
1.38" at Oxnard Civic Center. Although coverage of higher totals
was less impressive in LA county, some very isolated readings of
over 1.5" were measured. See RRMLOX and RERLOX for more details.

Otherwise, The forecast remains on track.

***From Previous Discussion***

Monday and Tuesday will find the area under a ~585dam ridge
between the exiting trough and the next wave that will affect
California by Wednesday. Most of the guidance holds the
precipitation from that system to our north, but it is possible
that the north of San Luis Obispo County will see some rain.
Ridging will return after that system exits to the east and it
will likely remain until around the 10th.

The final band of showers with the current system is still producing
some light rain in the Ventura and Los Angeles County mountains.
Expect intermittent showers for a few more hours. Hourly rainfall
rates are only about a tenth of an inch, so no major impacts are
expected.

Dry and warmer weather will return Monday with slowly warming
temperatures through the week thanks in part to some weak offshore
flow. Some of the mountains will likely have some 20-30 mph gusts
at times.

By Tuesday highs will generally be within a few degrees of
normal. There will be a weak weather system moving into northern
California Tuesday which is why the warming trend will be a slow
one at least to start this week. A few of the ensemble solutions
show a 5-15 percent chance for some light precip near the coastal
border of SLO/Monterey County Tuesday evening but dry elsewhere.

Wednesday will balance increasing cloud cover with mild offshore
flow and probably wind up with temperatures about what they were
on Tuesday.

.LONG TERM (THU-SUN)...01/147 PM.

The offshore wind and gradual warming trend will continue in the
long term from Thursday into the weekend. Offshore gradients are
expected to increase late in the week and peak on Saturday at
about a minus 4, which would lead to warmer temperatures and some
gusty offshore winds, primarily in LA and Ventura Counties. The
recent rains will mitigate some of the fire weather risk, but
certainly not over the whole CWA.

Looking into the extended forecast, there is another trough
dropping down the coast beginning around the Wednesday the 11st
that ensembles suggest could bring the next rain to the CWA.

&&

.AVIATION...01/2341Z.

At 2300Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer nor an inversion.

Overall, moderate to high confidence in 00Z TAF Package. Gusty
west winds will gradually decrease through the late afternoon
& early evening. VFR conditions expected at all sites through
the forecast period.

KLAX...High confidence in TAF. VFR conditions will prevail.
Good confidence in any east wind component remaining below
8 kt and likely under 6 kt.

KBUR...High confidence in VFR TAF, except moderate confidence
in wind through 02/03Z.

&&

.MARINE...01/829 PM.

High confidence in gusty NW winds across all of the waters will
persist through around midnight, then diminishing through the next
few hours. Seas are hazardous, meeting SCA levels for short period
seas above 5 feet for all of the waters, around 6-7 feet at 7
seconds nearshore and 7-9 feet at 7-8 seconds in the outer waters.
The SCA has been extended through 3 AM Monday at which time winds
will have weakened for a few hours, allowing seas to subside.

The winds turn to the N on Monday and will likely stay below SCA-
levels. There is a chance for another round of post-frontal winds
on Tuesday and Wednesday, but likely a step below in strength
compared to today. Finally, over portions of the outer waters, SCA
winds may persist through Thursday or Friday.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...Beach Hazards Statement in effect through Monday afternoon
      for zones 354-362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PST Monday for
      zones 645-650-655-670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).

&&

$$

PUBLIC...jld/Black
AVIATION...Black
MARINE...RM/RK/Ciliberti
SYNOPSIS...Ciliberti

weather.gov/losangeles

Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=lox